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#217 Soft Theory, Hard Evidence: Rational Choice and Empirical Investigation in Brazil

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Latin America Program
Brazil Institute

By Barry Ames

From the Introduction

In 1989 I began a study of contemporary Brazilian politics with the narrow goal of understanding the operation of Brazil's peculiar electoral system and assessing the contribution of that system to the nation's institutional difficulties. Gradually the project broadened as a result of efforts to link the electoral system to the Congress. Because the president had such enormous influence over deputies, through the power of pork-barrel projects and job nominations, no analysis could comprehend the Congress without also examining the executive. So the project evolved into an exploration of the entire institututional structure of Brazilian national-level politics.

In this essay I would like to show how rational choice reasoning, especially in the areas of concept and findings transfer, guided the development of my project. It will become clear that I have applied rational choice techniques quite unevenly. At times the failure is on the theoretical side, in the sense that formal theorists have paid little attention to non-American settings; at times the failure is on the empirical side, in the sense that crucial indicators simply do not exist. 

Latin America Program

The Wilson Center’s prestigious Latin America Program provides non-partisan expertise to a broad community of decision makers in the United States and Latin America on critical policy issues facing the Hemisphere. The Program provides insightful and actionable research for policymakers, private sector leaders, journalists, and public intellectuals in the United States and Latin America. To bridge the gap between scholarship and policy action, it fosters new inquiry, sponsors high-level public and private meetings among multiple stakeholders, and explores policy options to improve outcomes for citizens throughout the Americas. Drawing on the Wilson Center’s strength as the nation’s key non-partisan policy forum, the Program serves as a trusted source of analysis and a vital point of contact between the worlds of scholarship and action.   Read more

Latin America Program

Brazil Institute

The Brazil Institute—the only country-specific policy institution focused on Brazil in Washington—aims to deepen understanding of Brazil’s complex landscape and strengthen relations between Brazilian and US institutions across all sectors.    Read more

Brazil Institute